{"id":16884,"date":"2013-06-11T08:14:01","date_gmt":"2013-06-11T01:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/?p=16884"},"modified":"2015-07-07T11:27:48","modified_gmt":"2015-07-07T04:27:48","slug":"le-changement-climatique-dans-le-bassin-du-congo-ne-sera-pas-le-meme-que-dans-le-reste-de-lafrique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/fr\/16884\/le-changement-climatique-dans-le-bassin-du-congo-ne-sera-pas-le-meme-que-dans-le-reste-de-lafrique","title":{"rendered":"Le changement climatique dans le Bassin du Congo ne sera pas le m\u00eame que dans le reste de l’Afrique"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"New<\/a>
De nouvelles recherches indiquent que malgr\u00e9 une hausse pr\u00e9vue de la fr\u00e9quence des fortes pluies, les r\u00e9gions du nord du Bassin du Congo vont vivre plus de s\u00e9cheresses. Ollivier Girard\/CIFOR<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

YAOUNDE, Cameroun_ Suite \u00e0 de nouvelles projections climatiques pour le Bassin du Congo, l’appel \u00e0 des r\u00e9ponses inform\u00e9es et collaboratives au changement climatique en Afrique Centrale se fait de nouveau entendre.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab <\/span><\/span><\/span>L’Afrique Centrale va conna\u00eetre un changement climatique tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rent de celui d’autres parties du continent \u00bb, dit Paul Scholte de l’agence de coop\u00e9ration allemande GIZ, lors de la <\/span><\/span><\/span>conf\u00e9rence internationale de Yaound\u00e9<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a> <\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>au Cameroun organis\u00e9e par le CIFOR.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Scholte a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 les r\u00e9sultats d’une premi\u00e8re \u00e9tude sur les projections climatiques dans le Bassin du Congo pour le si\u00e8cle \u00e0 venir. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Cette<\/span> <\/span><\/span>recherche de l’Universit\u00e9 de Wageningen<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span>* et du Hamburg Climate Service Centre, en collaboration avec le GIZ et la COMIFAC est la premi\u00e8re qui se concentre exclusivement sur le Bassin du Congo, alors que les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents mod\u00e8les utilisaient des donn\u00e9es continentales ou mondiales. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab Le sc\u00e9nario de faibles \u00e9missions correspond \u00e0 ce qui arrivera, nous en sommes s\u00fbrs, dans le meilleur des cas. Il pr\u00e9dit une hausse des temp\u00e9ratures d’au moins 2\u00b0C pour ce si\u00e8cle \u00bb, dit Scholte.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ces r\u00e9sultats indiquent que, malgr\u00e9 une hausse pr\u00e9vue de la fr\u00e9quence des fortes pluies, les r\u00e9gions du nord du Bassin du Congo vont vivre plus de s\u00e9cheresses. Cependant, pour le Bassin du Congo lui m\u00eame, on ne s’attend \u00e0 aucun changement des pr\u00e9cipitations et des mod\u00e8les agricoles qui en d\u00e9coulent.<\/span><\/p>\n

[slideshare id=21757085&doc=20130522ciforhegener-130523052622-phpapp02]<\/p>\n

Les r\u00e9sultats indiquent \u00e9galement que les courants des rivi\u00e8res vont augmenter, mais aussi devenir plus impr\u00e9visibles, ce qui pourrait affecter la construction et la maintenance des barrages hydro\u00e9lectriques. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab L’adaptation est particuli\u00e8rement importante pour se pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 des \u00e9v\u00e8nements climatiques extr\u00eames comme les s\u00e9cheresses et les inondations \u00bb, dit Scholte. Il conseille aussi de ne pas mettre trop d’espoir dans l’hydro\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Joseph Amougou, point focal du changement climatique au Cameroun et n\u00e9gociateur pour le gouvernement dans les discussions sur le changement climatique, dit que les leaders d’Afrique Centrale devraient utiliser cette recherche pour concevoir des lois claires et inform\u00e9es. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab Tous les pays de la r\u00e9gion veulent devenir \u00e9mergents \u00bb, dit-il. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab L’\u00e9mergence est le dernier parfum \u00e0 la mode. Pourtant, quand vous regardez le <\/span><\/span>Plan \u00e9mergence du Cameroun pour 2035<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span>, le changement climatique n’y est pas mentionn\u00e9.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Au-del\u00e0 de l’adaptation \u00e0 l’\u00e9volution des conditions climatiques, de telles politiques devraient aussi cibler le financement international pour l’att\u00e9nuation du changement climatique, ajoute Amougou. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bien que des initiatives telles que la <\/span><\/span>R\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions li\u00e9es au d\u00e9boisement et \u00e0 la d\u00e9gradation des for\u00eats (REDD+)<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span> – <\/span><\/span><\/em>un programme de l’ONU con\u00e7u pour r\u00e9mun\u00e9rer les pays tropicaux qui gardent les arbres debout \u2013 aient beaucoup attir\u00e9 l’attention dans le domaine de la lutte pour l’att\u00e9nuation climatique, d’autres approches sont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

L’\u00e9mergence est le dernier parfum \u00e0 la mode. Pourtant quand vous regardez le Plan \u00e9mergence du Cameroun pour 2035, le changement climatique n’y est pas mentionn\u00e9.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u00ab REALU [<\/span>Reducing Emissions from All Land Uses*<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>] int\u00e8gre l’agriculture, l’\u00e9levage, etc. Il pose la question: quel \u00e9quilibre id\u00e9al peut \u00eatre atteint entre ces zones, tout en permettant aux personnes qui y vivent d’atteindre leurs objectifs?\u201d dit Ken Creighton, un sp\u00e9cialiste du changement climatique du <\/span><\/span>Central African Regional Program for the Environment<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span>* fond\u00e9 par les Etats-Unis. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Il souligne aussi le potentiel des versions locales de REDD+ \u00e0 exploiter leurs connaissances des facteurs de d\u00e9forestation au sein des gouvernements locaux.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Utiliser les connaissances locales suppose une gestion adapt\u00e9e et collaborative \u2013 une proc\u00e9dure dans laquelle les personnes s’accordent \u00e0 travailler ensemble pour planifier, puis observer et amender leur projet, tout en reconnaissant que de nombreux projets \u00e9chouent d\u00e8s l’origine, dit le <\/span><\/span>chercheur du CIFOR Carol Colfer<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span>*.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Elle cite l’actuel <\/span><\/span>projet COBAM<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/span> du CIFOR, qui vise \u00e0 trouver des synergies entre l\u2019adaptation climatique et les initiatives d’att\u00e9nuation dans le Bassin du Congo, comme exemple de planification collaborative. Cette-derni\u00e8re est n\u00e9cessaire dans la lutte contre le changement climatique, afin que les projets puissent tenir compte des variations humaines et \u00e9cologiques entre, et \u00e0 l’int\u00e9rieur des communaut\u00e9s, ajoute-t-elle. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab Nous avons besoin d’utiliser toutes les connaissances disponibles, y compris locales, pour faire face \u00e0 cette diversit\u00e9 \u00bb, dit Colfer, tout en reconnaissant que cela ne garantit pas la fin de mauvaises d\u00e9cisions ou mauvaises gouvernances. <\/span><\/p>\n

Inclure avec respect les communaut\u00e9s locales dans la construction de projets est une mani\u00e8re efficace de positiver les conflits ou les \u00e9checs, ajoute Colfer.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00ab Quand les gens r\u00e9alisent qu’il y a un probl\u00e8me, ils peuvent \u00eatre encourag\u00e9s \u00e0 y rem\u00e9dier. \u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n

* Liens non traduits en fran\u00e7ais<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

YAOUNDE, Cameroun_ Suite \u00e0 de nouvelles projections climatiques pour le Bassin du Congo, l’appel \u00e0 des r\u00e9ponses inform\u00e9es et collaboratives au changement climatique en Afrique Centrale se fait de nouveau entendre. \u00ab L’Afrique Centrale va conna\u00eetre un changement climatique tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rent de celui d’autres parties du continent \u00bb, dit Paul Scholte de l’agence de coop\u00e9ration […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":97,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[462,180],"tags":[],"language":[2170],"location":[],"tag-bahasa":[],"tag-espanol":[],"tag-francais":[],"type-espanol":[],"type-bahasa":[],"type-english":[],"type-francais":[],"coauthors":[1041],"class_list":["post-16884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change-energy","category-mitigating-climate-change","language-francais"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLe changement climatique dans le Bassin du Congo ne sera pas le m\u00eame que dans le reste de l'Afrique - 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