{"id":19428,"date":"2013-10-09T14:05:39","date_gmt":"2013-10-09T07:05:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/?p=19428"},"modified":"2015-08-24T15:50:31","modified_gmt":"2015-08-24T08:50:31","slug":"informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/es\/19428\/informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1","title":{"rendered":"Informe del IPCC: \u00bfQu\u00e9 significa para los bosques del mundo? (Parte 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cfCJR3T3Dhc\" height=\"315\" width=\"420\" allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/news_and_events\/docs\/ar5\/press_release_ar5_wgi_en.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">El Panel Intergubernamental de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Clim\u00e1tico (IPCC)<\/a> public\u00f3 su quinto informe de evaluaci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica hace unas semanas, confirmando la especulaci\u00f3n de que las actividades humanas son la causa principal del cambio clim\u00e1tico desde mediados del siglo XX. Pero \u00bfqu\u00e9 significa esto para los bosques del mundo?<\/p>\n<p>El resumen ejecutivo destac\u00f3 evidencia sobrecogedora del continuo calentamiento del planeta, indicando que es probable que las temperaturas aumenten entre 0.3 y 4.8 grados cent\u00edgrados (05. a 8.6 Fahrenheit) para fines del siglo XXI.<\/p>\n<p>El IPCC ha empleado un enfoque de <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/another-budget-in-massive-deficit-14407\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">presupuesto de carbono<\/a> \u2014 considerando cu\u00e1nto carbono podemos emitir antes de exceder el l\u00edmite de 2 grados cent\u00edgrados \u2013 como marco para evaluar el nivel de mitigaci\u00f3n requerido. Para cumplir el objetivo de 2 grados cent\u00edgrados, las emisiones totales post-industriales de carbono a partir de todas las fuentes, deber\u00e1n limitarse a mil millones de toneladas. Pero ya se ha consumido alrededor de la mitad del presupuesto.<\/p>\n<p>Si bien este informe est\u00e1 diciendo claramente que no estamos haciendo lo suficiente para resolver el problema del cambio clim\u00e1tico, hay varias lecciones para los actores forestales (muchas de las cuales quedar\u00e1n m\u00e1s claras a medida que se publiquen las secciones del informe a finales del 2013 e inicios del 2014):<\/p>\n<p><b>Es necesario reducir las emisiones derivadas de la agricultura y los bosques <\/b><\/p>\n<p>En conjunto, la actividad forestal y la agricultura (causa principal de la deforestaci\u00f3n), actualmente representan alrededor del 30% de las emisiones a nivel mundial, de acuerdo con la <a href=\"http:\/\/www.epa.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Agencia de Protecci\u00f3n Ambiental de los Estados Unidos. <\/a>En reuniones anteriores de las Naciones Unidas ha habido grandes esfuerzos para implementar un mecanismo internacional con el fin de <a href=\"\/\/www.cifor.org\/online-library\/browse\/view-publication\/publication\/3805.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">reducir las emisiones derivadas de la deforestaci\u00f3n <\/a> (REDD+), pero si bien esto ha estado sobre la mesa desde el 2005, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/13152\/disappointing-outcome-for-forests-in-doha-but-redd-can-still-move-forward\/\">los temas de verificaci\u00f3n de emisiones y la falta de medios de financiamiento <\/a>indican que el mecanismo todav\u00eda no es completamente funcional.<\/p>\n<p>Lamentablemente en los niveles altos de discusi\u00f3n a nivel internacional no han estado al tanto de las emisiones del sector agr\u00edcola. El meollo de este problema es que muchos pa\u00edses no se atreven a agobiar al sector agr\u00edcola con responsabilidades ambientales adicionales. Sin embargo, hay una necesidad cada vez mayor de disminuir las emisiones de este sector, a medida que el mundo se prepara para recibir y alimentar a tres mil millones de nuevas personas en los pr\u00f3ximos 50 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p>En noviembre, cuando los representantes de gobierno se re\u00fanan en Varsovia para la pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n de la Convenci\u00f3n Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Clim\u00e1tico, habr\u00e1 dos acciones inmediatas que los pa\u00edses necesitan asumir: en primer lugar, tienen que avanzar en la reducci\u00f3n de las emisiones debido a la deforestaci\u00f3n superando los temas problem\u00e1ticos finales de la verificaci\u00f3n y financiamiento, y en segundo lugar, es necesario iniciar las conversaciones sobre c\u00f3mo incorporar a la agricultura y al cambio en el uso de la tierra en los acuerdos clim\u00e1ticos internacionales.<\/p>\n<p>Hasta el momento, el avance en abordar la agricultura dentro de las conversaciones de la CMNUCC ha sido lento, pero esperamos que el <a href=\"http:\/\/www.landscapes.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Foro Global sobre Paisajes <\/a>de este a\u00f1o, le brinde impulso a la discusi\u00f3n sobre los retos de la mitigaci\u00f3n y adaptaci\u00f3n en este sector.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u00bfQu\u00e9 hay respecto a la reciente pausa en la temperatura de la superficie? <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Cualquier informe sobre cambio clim\u00e1tico no puede no generar controversia, esc\u00e9pticos y detractores del cambio clim\u00e1tico sugieren que la ciencia ha fracasado en explicar una pausa reciente en el aumento de la temperatura de la superficie. Debido a una variabilidad natural, las tendencias basadas en registros cortos son muy sensibles a las fechas de inicio y finalizaci\u00f3n, y en general no reflejan tendencias clim\u00e1ticas de largo alcance. Por ejemplo, la tasa de calentamiento en los \u00faltimos 15 a\u00f1os (1998-2012), que se inici\u00f3 con un Ni\u00f1o muy fuerte, es m\u00e1s baja que la tasa calculada desde 1951, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechange2013.org\/images\/uploads\/WGIAR5-SPM_Approved27Sep2013.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">mencion\u00f3 el informe del IPCC. <\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.readcube.com\/articles\/10.1038%2Fnature12534\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Trabajo muy reciente de Yu Kosaka y Shang Ping Xie de Scripps Institution of Oceanography<\/a> que no fue incluido en la revisi\u00f3n del IPCC, ha mostrado que la tendencia m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil del calentamiento en a\u00f1os recientes se debe al enfriamiento en la regi\u00f3n oriental ecuatorial del Oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico, asociado con ciclos decenales de La Ni\u00f1a. Ya que este elemento del sistema clim\u00e1tico es c\u00edclico, es razonable esperar que la tendencia de calentamiento en el largo plazo no disminuya.<\/p>\n<p>Este nuevo informe del IPCC muestra que esta es una d\u00e9cada cr\u00edtica para la acci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica. Y por lo menos deber\u00eda brindar un nuevo \u00edmpetu para que la cooperaci\u00f3n internacional resuelva los problemas del cambio clim\u00e1tico que ya han estado sobre la mesa durante muchos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p><b><i>CIFOR estar\u00e1 analizando las secciones del informe de IPCC y sus implicaciones para los bosques, a medida que est\u00e9n disponibles para el p\u00fablico a fines del 2013 e inicios del 2014. <\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><i>Louis Verchot lidera la investigaci\u00f3n de CIFOR sobre bosques y el medio ambiente. Cont\u00e1ctelo al correo electr\u00f3nico <\/i><a href=\"mailto:%20l.verchot@cgiar.org\"><i>l.verchot@cgiar.org<\/i><\/a><a href=\"mailto:%20l.verchot@cgiar.org\"> <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Panel Intergubernamental de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Clim\u00e1tico (IPCC) public\u00f3 su quinto informe de evaluaci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica hace unas semanas, confirmando la especulaci\u00f3n de que las actividades humanas son la causa principal del cambio clim\u00e1tico desde mediados del siglo XX. Pero \u00bfqu\u00e9 significa esto para los bosques del mundo? El resumen ejecutivo destac\u00f3 evidencia [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":19302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[462,161,188,1072,180],"tags":[376,1278,385,389,390,932,1277,1279,123],"language":[2169],"location":[],"tag-bahasa":[],"tag-espanol":[],"tag-francais":[],"type-espanol":[3103],"type-bahasa":[],"type-english":[],"type-francais":[],"coauthors":[241],"class_list":["post-19428","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change-energy","category-deforestation","category-food-and-diets","category-landscapes","category-mitigating-climate-change","tag-agricultura","tag-boques","tag-cambio-climatico","tag-carbono","tag-deforestacion","tag-degradacion-forestal","tag-ipcc","tag-panel-intergubernamental-de-las-naciones-unidas-sobre-cambio-climatico","tag-redd","language-espanol","type-espanol-opinan-los-expertos"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.4 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Informe del IPCC: \u00bfQu\u00e9 significa para los bosques del mundo? (Parte 1) - Landscape Alliance Forests News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/es\/19428\/informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Informe del IPCC: \u00bfQu\u00e9 significa para los bosques del mundo? (Parte 1)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El Panel Intergubernamental de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Clim\u00e1tico (IPCC) public\u00f3 su quinto informe de evaluaci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica hace unas semanas, confirmando la especulaci\u00f3n de que las actividades humanas son la causa principal del cambio clim\u00e1tico desde mediados del siglo XX. Pero \u00bfqu\u00e9 significa esto para los bosques del mundo? El resumen ejecutivo destac\u00f3 evidencia [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/es\/19428\/informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Landscape Alliance Forests News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CIFORICRAF\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-10-09T07:05:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-08-24T08:50:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.forestsnews.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/cpo-plant.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"427\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Louis Verchot\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@CIFOR_ICRAF\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CIFOR_ICRAF\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.forestsnews.org\\\/es\\\/19428\\\/informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.forestsnews.org\\\/es\\\/19428\\\/informe-del-ipcc-que-significa-para-los-bosques-del-mundo-parte-1\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Louis Verchot\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.forestsnews.org\\\/es#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d0a6bd0ed9cb8565f528ad93ea507706\"},\"headline\":\"Informe del IPCC: \u00bfQu\u00e9 significa para los bosques del mundo? 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